TSR မွ ေလျပင္းတိုက္ခတ္ခံရမႈ ျဖစ္ႏိုင္ေျခသတိေပးခ်က္တြင္ စစ္ေတြၿမိဳ႕ ပါဝင္လာ

ေမလ ၁၂ ရက္၊ ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္ ညေန ၆ နာရီခြဲမွ ေနာက္ ၉၆ နာရီ(ေမလ ၁၆ ရက္ ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္ ညေန ၆ နာရီခြဲ ေနာက္ပိုင္း)တြင္
အဆင့္-၁ ဆိုင္ကလုန္းမုန္တိုင္း MAHASEN ေၾကာင့္ ေလျပင္းတိုက္ခတ္ခံရႏိုင္မည့္ ႏိုင္ငံ (၃)ႏိုင္ငံတြင္ ျမန္မာႏိုင္ငံမွ စစ္ေတြၿမိဳ႕ ပါဝင္လာေၾကာင္းေတြ႕ရပါသည္။

  TSR-Swind-probability
 (TSR မွ YELLOW ALERT ဆိုသည္မွာ တစ္နာရီ ၇၄ မိုင္ႏွဳန္းျဖင့္ ၁ မိနစ္ ဆက္တိုက္ ေလျပင္းတိုက္ခတ္ခံရႏိုင္မည့္ အေျခအေန ၁ဝ% ရွိသည္ဟုဆိုလိုပါသည္)
201301B_6F

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 May, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm MAHASEN (01B) currently located near 10.2 N 87.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours

Bangladesh
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Myanmar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Cox’s Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Sittwe (20.1 N, 93.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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